Economic “Armageddon”
Nicked from gibsonfeed – Economic “Armageddon” predicted
Understand, this isn’t some shrill liberal pansy screaming that the sky is falling because Bush won. No, this is the chief economist at Morgan Stanley:
Roach sees a 30 percent chance of a slump soon and a 60 percent chance that “we’ll muddle through for a while and delay the eventual armageddon.”
The chance we’ll get through OK: one in 10. Maybe.
In a nutshell, Roach’s argument is that America’s record trade deficit means the dollar will keep falling. To keep foreigners buying T-bills and prevent a resulting rise in inflation, Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan will be forced to raise interest rates further and faster than he wants.
The result: U.S. consumers, who are in debt up to their eyeballs, will get pounded.
This is not a pretty picture, folks.

Yeah, I saw that at http://boingboing.net/ (). I’m working on a post soon, talking about this and others, and considering my investment options.