Economic “Armageddon”

Nicked from gibsonfeedEconomic “Armageddon” predicted

Understand, this isn’t some shrill liberal pansy screaming that the sky is falling because Bush won. No, this is the chief economist at Morgan Stanley:

Roach sees a 30 percent chance of a slump soon and a 60 percent chance that “we’ll muddle through for a while and delay the eventual armageddon.”

The chance we’ll get through OK: one in 10. Maybe.

In a nutshell, Roach’s argument is that America’s record trade deficit means the dollar will keep falling. To keep foreigners buying T-bills and prevent a resulting rise in inflation, Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan will be forced to raise interest rates further and faster than he wants.

The result: U.S. consumers, who are in debt up to their eyeballs, will get pounded.

This is not a pretty picture, folks.

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